The Threshold I Set Before I Knew the Answer
I ran a model quietly for 125 outcomes against a number I'd written down before I had any idea where it would land. It came in at 52.1%. Here's what I did with it, and why that part was easy.
Writing
Long pieces about real decisions: a model that got shut off, a feature that shipped dark, a threshold set before the answer was known.
Judgment is what you're hiring. This is where it's on the record.
I ran a model quietly for 125 outcomes against a number I'd written down before I had any idea where it would land. It came in at 52.1%. Here's what I did with it, and why that part was easy.